The bitcoin price, up almost 10% on this time last week and back above the closely-watched $20,000 level, has rallied despite multiple price crash warnings. The price of other top ten cryptocurrencies—including ethereum, BNB
Now, as the U.S. Federal Reserve mulls another interest rate hike in September, one analyst has predicted it’s “only a matter of time” before the Fed changes course—with bitcoin “poised to be a primary beneficiary.”
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“Bitcoin is a wild card that’s more ripe to outperform when stocks bottom, but transitioning to be more like gold and bonds,” Bloomberg Intelligence commodity analyst Mike McGlone wrote in a report this week, adding there is a “strong headwind” affecting high-risk assets as the Federal Reserve continues to tightening monetary policy to drive down inflation.
However, Federal Reserve and market watchers are increasingly confident the Fed will succeed in its war against inflation within coming months. Fed officials are currently weighing whether to go for a third straight 75-basis-point interest rate hike at the September 20-21 policy meeting or a 50-basis-point rise. Next week, the latest U.S. consumer price inflation (CPI) data will show whether the Fed’s earlier interest rate hikes have slowed price rises.
“It’s typically a matter of time for the Fed funds gauge to flip toward cuts, and when it does, bitcoin is poised to be a primary beneficiary,” McGlone wrote.
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The bitcoin price has broken out of its downward trend over the last week with many in the crypto industry feeling upbeat despite September being a historically tough time for the crypto market.
“September has historically been a bleak period for bitcoin’s price; during the same five-year period, bitcoin has averaged an 8.5% drop in September,” Matt Senter, chief technology officer at bitcoin rewards app Lolli, said in emailed comments.
“Given the Fed’s projections of persistent inflation and continued rate hikes, with the crypto and equity markets hyper-sensitive to inflationary trends, this September likely won’t be any different. However, bitcoin’s price is due for a rebound this year—this will likely be contingent on diminished inflationary pressures and a subsequent increase in investor confidence.”